Dissonant Weather: October

OCTOBER FORECAST Hey folks, I’m doing things slightly different this month. Due to a complex transition into Autumn, and for other reasons, I’m composing a more technical, extensive summary and polar vortex forecast, while adding some speculative thoughts...

September Forecast

EARLY AUTUMN SUMMARY By and large, the first half of October has done almost a complete 180° turn towards Autumn weather in just two days, and a series of fairly moderate storm systems this week could help seal the deal. Starting this weekend, a blocking pattern of...

August Forecast

EARLY AUTUMN SUMMARY A counterpart south of Asia to the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), in the Pacific, is called the Indian Ocean dipole (IOD). That oscillation can have an outsized effect on our weather in North America and beyond, at times. In tandem with...

Dissonant Weather- Summer 2025

MAY–AUGUST SUMMARY (mostly somewhat technical) I apologize for not posting a forecast last month. I was busy after June 16 preparing for a big conference and also had some ongoing personal struggles. One glance at this first chart should tell you there’s a lot...

May Weather Report

FIVE-WEEK SUMMARY As many of you have probably guessed by now, we’re quickly approaching a more summer-like circulation pattern, with a few nuances and caveats. Upper 70s to mid-80s are possible roughly next Wed. May 28 into early June. But, in part due to...

April Issue 3 Week Forcast

EARLY SPRING SYNOPSIS Please dive in with me to think about what weather might grace us in the next few weeks. Quite a lot has been going on lately, which is typical for early-to-mid Spring as increasing sunshine causes warmer air masses to battle with pools of cold...